The ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the National Action Party (PAN) have the highest favorability ratings in the election for federal deputies, with 29% and 25% of voting intentions (excluding the 32% of the participants that did not answer), according to the results of the latest national survey conducted by EL UNIVERSAL/Buendía & Laredo.
The Democratic Revolution Party (PRD), the Green Party (PVEM) and Morena Party seek to become the third political force in the country, with 11.7%, 9.2% and 8.8% of preferences, respectively.
This means the intention to vote for the PRI has dropped 12.2 percentage points since August last year, while the intention to vote for smaller parties has increased.
Independent voters, i.e. those who do not identify with any political party, are an important segment representing more than half of Mexicans (52%) and can determine the outcome of the election. The survey revealed that they would give 10.4% of the votes to the National Action Party (PAN), 8.5% to the PRI, 7.9% to the PRD, 7.4% to Morena and 6.8% to the PVEM. However, half of independent voters expressed no intention to vote.
The survey also revealed that the New Alliance Party, the Humanist Party and the Social Encounter Party are below the threshold to keep their registration as national political parties. Therefore, it is possible that at least one of these three parties fails to obtain the minimum 3% required.
The PAN, the PVEM and the PRI are the parties with more positive opinions (27%, 26% and 25%). However, negative opinions outweigh positive opinions for all political parties.
The PRD and the PRI are the parties with the less positive opinion balance (positive opinions minus negative opinions): -25 and -22, respectively.
The survey also measured the perception that Mexicans have about the direction the country is taking.
About two thirds of respondents (64%) believe the country is on the wrong track, while 14% believe the opposite and 19% think that the direction the country is neither good nor bad.
